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Real Estate
Time to buy or take cover? Reactions vary
in wake of dismally slow July for Essex County real estate
By GEORGE
EARL, Adirondack Daily Enterprise
Staff Writer
At
a time when the cost of gas and fuel oil are skyrocketing and sweeping state budget
cuts are hitting the North Country, the New York State Association of Realtors
is adding to the bad business news by reporting that July was one of its worst
months ever for sales in Essex County: a decline of 65 percent from June and 68
percent from July a year ago.Worry
over the crumbling real estate market is being countered by some real estate agents
who say that now is a good time to buy, but other sellers aren't quite as bullish.
The
number of home sales by Realtors in Essex County took a sharp drop in July from
the previous month, from 34 houses sold in June to only 12 in July, according
to NYSAR's most recent report. By this time in 2006, Realtors had sold 807 homes
in Essex County; this year they had sold 631 through July.
The
median home sale price in Essex County in July had declined 47 percent since June,
falling from $221,914 to $117,500. In July 2006, the median sale price was $185,000.
In July 2007 it was $150,000 - 22 percent more than this July.
Statewide,
NYSAR said the median home sale price has fallen from $243,000 in the second quarter
of 2006 to $212,250 in 2008.
"It
remains a good buyer's market," NYSAR spokesman Salvidore Prividera Jr. said.
"We're past many of the financial difficulties in the credit market, and
there are more options and bargains to be had." He said it's also not the
worst time to list a home.
"Typical
homeowners have been in a home for seven years," he said. "The median
sales price statewide in 2001 was $127,000. In July of 2008, it was $229,000."
Laura
Burns, the executive officer for Northern Adirondack Board of Realtors, said market
performance varies by region.
"Days
on market are high because prices aren't realistic," Burns said. "Recently
we are noticing more price changes. Mortgage guys have also tightened up."
Burns
said median sale prices have remained higher for longer in Essex County, in part
due to the euphoria of the second-home market.
In
Franklin County, she said the median sale price actually rose and that prices
remain stable, although numbers were not available. She also said foreclosure
rates are lower in the North Country and that none of NABOR's 166 Realtors have
closed due to lack of business.
"They
don't have the booms, and they don't have the busts," she said. "But
sales are still low."
For
instance, she said, the median home price in Franklin County is only $80,000.
But Burns said that makes it a good place for first-time home buyers who can take
advantage of the Federal Housing Stimulus Package.
"What
the economic stimulus is really having an effect on is first-time home buyers,"
Burns said. "So I'm suspecting that people are getting off the fence and
hitting the market. Federal assistance has more of an effect on less affluent
communities."
Burns
said mortgage rates are still good and prices have stabilized.
"People
who are local are buying a house to live in it, and they are still building long-term
equity," she said. "List prices are going to creep up next year."
Others
take a more sober view of the market.
"We're
essentially awash in unsold inventory," Saranac Lake real estate broker Rob
Grant said. "People don't want to hear that, but if someone tells you otherwise,
they are in denial."
Grant
said that economic conditions in the Adirondacks make families particularly vulnerable,
and while many are moving out, fewer are moving in.
"In
our part of the woods, in the Adirondacks, we have seen a huge increase in the
number of homes for sale," Grant said. "Right away, what that means
is you've got that many more homes competing for fewer buyers."
He
said several compounding factors in the Adirondacks mean a difficult market for
most homes and that only the very high-end property sales remain strong.
"We
just completed a $3 million sale on the west shore of Lake Placid. So the market
is fragmented," he said. "Vacation homes and high end are doing well,
but the rest is getting pounded."
"We've
got a very powerful transformation happening where we have a credit crisis, we've
got a very bad recession and extremely high property taxes, and that creates a
perfect storm."
Grant
said these economic problems will become especially acute this winter.
"We're
ground zero in terms of the energy crisis," he said. "I see this winter
as the critical tipping point for a lot of people, and I think we're going to
see a lot of collateral damage in the market."